2012 congressional election analysis software

Carr 1962 was the first step of the supreme courts role in redistricting. The effects of reapportionment politics by the numbers. Following a june 2009 election, officials in pennington county, south dakota, discovered a. This dataset is designed for teaching logistic regression. This site presents data and analysis of womens voting behavior, including statistics on turnout and the gender gap in.

The dataset is a subset of data derived from the 2012 cooperative congressional election study cces, and the example presents an analysis of whether survey respondents believe that laws covering the sale of firearms should be more strict, kept as they are, or less strict. This more concise statement of wkbencoded geometry is common in database software such as. The election demonstrated that analytics fueled by big data and advancement in computing technology has become an integral part of the presidential. Here, we report results from a replication of the experiment conducted during the u. Future updates will include historical data for some states and where possible, 2010 and 2012 data. Harvard dataverse collection by carl klarner with useful data and tools, including state legislative election returns from 1967 to 2012. Live results, news, reaction, analysis the denver posts political reporters and staff provide you with live results on election day for colorados congressional. Nov 14, 2012 in the opening posting on the 2012 congressional elections, i estimated that the democrats now face a tenseat disadvantage in the house based on that partys share of the popular vote. Nov 29, 2012 democrats have been organizing and never stopped since the last election in 2008. Historical voting patterns in the old district and the new are measured using the data and methods described in appendix a of redistricting and congressional control. Senate while republicans were the majority in the u. House seats were up for election on november 6, 2012 this page contains congressional election results the tables under each state heading reflect the. This was the first congressional election using the congressional districts that were apportioned based on the 2010 census.

Below is a tally of the money raised and spent through september by the presidential candidates, the national party committees and the primary super pacs whose sole purpose is to support a. Krosnick, katie gera, david yeager, and michael mcdonald. Feb 03, 20 the great gerrymander of 2012 came 200 years after the first use of this curious word, which comes from the salamandershaped districts signed into law by governor elbridge gerry of massachusetts. How to gerrymander your way to a huge election victory. Read our analysis of the texas congression redistricting plan c141, which was passed. Prior to 1962, many states had vastly unequal districts. An analysis of presidential elections, 1964 2012 pdf dec 18, 2014 voting behavior. Objective to analyze campaign contributions that physicians made from the 1991 to 1992 through the 2011 to 2012 election cycles to republican and democratic candidates in. Congress were up for election on november 6, 2012 heading into the election, democrats controlled the u. For many states we also have results from a large number of additional offices and. Mapping early american elections this project offers a.

The dataset is a subset of data derived from the 2012 cooperative congressional election study cces, and the example presents an. Political operatives have reported that after barack obamas election in 2008 many of his key campaign offices in battleground states like ohio and florida never closed down. The 2012 united states senate elections were held november 6, 2012, with 33 of the 100 seats in the senate being contested in regular elections whose winners would serve sixyear terms beginning january 3, 20, with the 1th congress. Despite disapproval of congress hitting an alltime high, there were surprisingly few upsets in the u. Oct 23, 2012 philadelphia, pa, october 23, 2012 azavea, a geospatial analysis gis software development company announces the release redraw the map on redistricting 2012 addendum, a new study that examines how the most recent round of redistricting has affected the geometry and geography of legislative districts in the united states. Mar 10, 20 a spreadsheet of this data can be found here methodology. An analysis of presidential elections, 19642012 pdf behavior. Hooghe, m, teepe, w 2007 party profiles on the web. The campaign, however, could just as well serve as a lesson book for cios engaged in capitalizing on a companys most valuable asset aside from money data.

In spite of the fact that getoutthevote messages typically yield smaller effects during highstakes. Levels of undervoting are nearly 20 percentage points. Nov 14, 2012 us 2012 election data us congress us house and senate elections 2012. Objective to analyze campaign contributions that physicians made from the 1991 to 1992 through the 2011 to 2012 election cycles to republican and democratic candidates in presidential and congressional races and to partisan organizations, including party committees and super political action committees super pacs. Democrats had 21 seats up for election, plus 1 independent and 1 independent democrat, while the republicans had only 10 seats up for election. The 2012 election is an instructional module designed to offer students the opportunity to analyze a dataset drawn from the 2012 american national election study anes. Quantifying gerrymandering using the vote distribution. Listed below are examples of past machine failures and how they impacted various elections.

An analysis of the 2012 presidential elections note. We are planning openprecincts, a project to provide open precinct geography, voting data, and redistricting software to all citizens. The use of technology in the 2012 presidential election has generated scores of articles, and without a doubt will be analyzed for years to come by political historians. The view from obama campaign hq, plus wrapups from senate races, ballot. E voting system awards election to wrong candidates in florida village.

Complementing the revitalization of electoral systems analysis, most of. State analysis would estimate that redistricting likely changed which party won the election in 2012 from republican to democratic. House seats were up for election on november 6, 2012. Publications home of jama and the specialty journals of. The congressional majorities that had given obama his legislative successes. A vote distribution for 1974 north carolina congressional election with gap 0. Senate prediction 2012 election day final november 6th, 2012, 11. During the presidential election year, partisan dominance of both chambers of the u.

C vote distribution for the 2012 indiana congressional election showing a meanmedian difference of 0. Azavea releases study on compactness of redistricted u. United states congressional elections results, 2012 ballotpedia. Highquality historical data about us congressional elections has long. Mapping early american elections this project offers a window into the formative era of american politics by producing interactive maps and visualizations of congressional and state legislative elections from. This analysis is based on a combination of the media exit poll and a new models post election survey conducted election night of 1,000 people who said they had voted.

As of october 2012 we now have 2008 presidential data for all states but oregon. Mar 01, 2018 a vote distribution for 1974 north carolina congressional election with gap 0. A spreadsheet of this data can be found here methodology. Sabato offers a number of essays from political writers on the 2012 election focusing on polls and research of data from the most recent election. Learn about logistic regression in r with data from the. Election returns for all congressional elections from 1946 to 1996.

The 2012 united states house of representatives elections were held on tuesday, november 6, 2012. The 2012 election and the changing face of politics. The following table shows the margin of victory for each race winner, which is calculated by examining the percentage difference between the toptwo vote getters. The 2012 election is an instructional module designed to offer students the opportunity to analyze a dataset drawn. The 2012 election and the changing face of politics sabato, larry j. In an election cycle that saw billions spent on ads, we sift through the highlights, as well as. Publications home of jama and the specialty journals of the. Azteca america readies unprecedented live coverage of 2012. He asked the dncs technology department to develop software that could turn. For many states we also have results from a large number of additional offices and estimates of precinctlevel normal vote. This dataset contains precinctlevel returns for elections to the u. B vote distribution for 2006 tennessee congressional election. United states congressional elections results, 2012. Learn about ordered probit in stata with data from the.

This was a perfect opportunity to regain the white house and the senate. The core data for the archive are state, county and district level election returns for all recent. It coincided with the reelection of president barack obama. The democrats gained republicanheld seats in massachusetts and indiana and one from an independent democrat in connect.

Opinion the great gerrymander of 2012 the new york times. This was the first congressional election using districts drawn up based on the 2010 united states census. Prnewswire azteca america is pleased to announce unprecedented live coverage of the 2012 presidential and congressional elections reported by an extensive. The tables under each state heading reflect the house delegation partisan breakdown before and after the election. Heading into the election, democrats controlled the u. Two years after barack obamas election as president, democrats suffered. We aim to provide the firstever free, comprehensive resource for state and local redistricting. Philadelphia, pa, october 23, 2012 azavea, a geospatial analysis gis software development company announces the release redraw the map on redistricting 2012. Data from the 2010 cooperative congressional election study are examined to determine the extent to which partisan polarization is a popular as well as an elite phenomenon. Spatiotemporal database of us congressional elections, 18962014. Elections were also held for the delegates from the district of columbia and five major u. Below is a tally of the money raised and spent through september by the presidential candidates, the national party committees and the primary super pacs whose sole purpose is to support.

The courts decision demands that congressional dis. There were a total of 435 seats up for election in 2012. The method above suggests that we can attribute the loss of perhaps two of these seats to the effects of reapportionment itself. This dataset is designed for teaching ordered probit. It is hard to make the argument for one glaring reason that caused republicans to. Senate and gubernatorial elections from 1990 to the present. Dan wagner, the chief analytics officer for obama 2012, led the. Analysis and lessons from the 2012 presidential election. How obamas team used big data to rally voters mit technology. Although democratic candidates received a nationwide plurality of more than 1.

Elections were held for all 435 seats in the united states house of representatives. Maplight analysis of campaign contributions to members of the 1th congress who won election in 2012, from. United states congress elections, 2012 ballotpedia. A 2008 analysis of ohio presidential election results from 1960 to 2004 found that no other. Entertainment software assn contributions to federal. The dataset is a subset of data derived from the 2012 cooperative congressional election study cces, and the example presents an analysis of whether survey respondents say yes or no when asked whether they support granting legal status to all illegal immigrants who have held jobs and paid taxes in the u. Maplight analysis of campaign contributions to members of the 1th congress who won election in 2012, from january 1, 2011december 31, 2012, based on latest available data from the fec as of february, 20. Click the election links in each state section for more details on the seats where a vote took. Realclearpolitics election other 2012 generic congressional vote. Using data from the cooperative congressional election study 20122016, i find that among those who vote in the national november elections, orphans, or voters without a copartisan candidate on the ballot are more likely to undervote, opting out of voting in their congressional race.

B vote distribution for 2006 tennessee congressional election illustrating the meanmedian difference of. About us research programs find an expert careers contact. The great gerrymander of 2012 came 200 years after the first use of this curious word, which comes from the salamandershaped districts signed into law by governor elbridge. The impact of redistricting on competition in state house elections. In the opening posting on the 2012 congressional elections, i estimated that the democrats now face a tenseat disadvantage in the house based on that partys share of the. Live results, news, reaction, analysis the denver posts political reporters and staff provide you with live results on election day for colorados congressional races, state ballot initiatives and the presidential election. Elections were held for all 435 seats in the united states house of. National journal political analyst charlie cook and guests discuss the 2012 election and the first presidential debate, the current political environment, top congressional races, and the. Us 2012 election data us congress us house and senate elections 2012. Publications cooperative congressional election study. Big data, analytics and elections analytics magazine. An analysis of the logfiles of nonpartisan interactive political internet sites in the 2003 and 2004 election campaigns in.

In an election cycle that saw billions spent on ads, we sift through the highlights, as well as the lowlights. This instructional module is part of the setups supplementary empirical teaching units in political science series and is featured online. If the race was uncontested, the margin of victory is listed as 100%. Using data from the cooperative congressional election study 20122016, i find that among those who vote in the national november elections, orphans, or voters without a copartisan. This analysis is based on a combination of the media exit poll and a new models postelection survey conducted election night of 1,000 people who said they had voted. Congressional election demonstrated a positive effect of an online getoutthevote message on real world voting behavior. Open door for republicans in 2012, the door couldnt have been more wide open for governor romney and republicans to win a signi.